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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | KasonWong | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 51% (31–30, n=61) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $1.9M | $81K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #907 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 72% (89 of 124 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 92% of 25 at avg 50¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 56% (won 100% of 14) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | KasonWong | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | — | Edward Winter $3.0K | — | Alafia Ayeni $128 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K | — | Keisuke Saitoh $13K |
| USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers same side · consensus USC Trojans | — | USC Trojans $4.1K | — | USC Trojans $3.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $22 |