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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1TunSahur
Record (consensus markets)45% (546–663, n=1209)53% (5701–5137, n=10838)47% (12984–14433, n=27417)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus68% (36 of 53 open)73% (135 of 185 open)53% (25 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1TunSahur
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134No $5.8K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $351No $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $927Over $2.9K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.6KNo $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-26?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $999Yes $427—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $301No $702—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $38KUnder $46—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $2.2K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.6KNo $1.4K—
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.7KUnder $372—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115No $3.3K—
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $160—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $43No $1.2K—
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $340No $918—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $97Under $1.1K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379No $662—
Exact Score: Huddersfield Town AFC 0 - 1 Luton Town FC?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $878Yes $11—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $729Boluspor $43—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Internazionale Milano
—FC Internazionale Milano $470FC Internazionale Milano $148—
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
same side · consensus No
—No $383No $134—
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $427Under $41—
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $63No $225—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117Yes $162—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Yuzuha Negishi $77Yuzuha Negishi $50—
Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $51Under $37—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $33Under $10—