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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | shineforever | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 43% (90–117, n=207) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $78K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #228 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 65% (135 of 207 open) | 65% (31 of 48 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 40% of 131 at avg 38¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 61% (won 4% of 80) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 2% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 2% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 35% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | shineforever |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | — | Alexandra Eala $6.8K | Claire Liu $12K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | Over $2 | — |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova | — | Anna Blinkova $5.9K | Sofya Lansere $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | Yes $326 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 | — |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $914 | Yes $16 | — |
| Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $318 | No $594 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $684 | Yes $59 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $28K | No $14K | — |
| Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $10K | No $7.3K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $10K | No $4.8K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | No $5.1K | — |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.7K | Under $40 | — |
| FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.5K | Under $505 | — |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.5K | No $6 | — |
| Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | No $66 | — |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | Under $28 | — |
| SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $331 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $353 | Under $453 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $29 | — |
| Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $51 | Yes $7 | — |