← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 52% (6582–6102, n=12684) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) | 71% (94–39, n=133) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.2M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #846 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (89 of 118 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | Yes $154 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $64 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | No $249 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Athletic Club $218 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $132 | Yes $3 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $21K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $3.1K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $494 | No $15K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | No $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | No $1.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | Yes $153 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $337 | Under $755 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | Over $8 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | Under $796 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | Under $595 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | CD Pamplona $6 | — |