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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjodarRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)62% (24–15, n=39)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$44K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #705PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)65% (128 of 197 open)0% (0 of 1 open)64% (29 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%96% of 25 at avg 58¢, ROI +34%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)44% (won 91% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)24% (won 100% of 6)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)32% (won 100% of 8)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjodarRN1
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $8.1KSofya Lansere $1.3KAnna Blinkova $51K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $4.0K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $623
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.2K—Over $713
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.3K—Under $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $34K—Sunderland AFC $4.6K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $12K
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $4.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.4K—No $7.1K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7.1K—Yes $5.6K
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
—No $470—No $1.6K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $435—Under $703
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29