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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)54% (2325–2004, n=4329)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$23K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #21PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)61% (125 of 206 open)58% (21 of 36 open)62% (72 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $169Over $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301No $371No $2.4K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.6KKings $9Lakers $3
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $246Under $10Under $169
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $10Quentin Halys $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
opposite sides · consensus Jake Delaney
——Omar Jasika $10Jake Delaney $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274—Under $1.7K
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $972—Raptors $130
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $930
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $555—Raptors $275
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5Over $747
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $91—Over $351
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $388—Over $46
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8—Over $390
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $138—Under $196
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Trail Blazers $216—Suns $6
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166Under $3—
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $132Under $9—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $19—Trail Blazers $99
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $10Over $85
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $10—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $5.6K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $2.1K
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $975No $981—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.7K—Spurs $183
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KOver $9—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $1.1K—Timberwolves $130
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.1K—Lakers $17
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $865No $10—
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $702—Timberwolves $159
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $783
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
—Sydney FC $696Sydney FC $10—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $514Over $10—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $358—Under $151
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $449—Over $29
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $468No $10—
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
same side · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
—Queens (NC) Royals $420Queens (NC) Royals $10—
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $30—Over $377
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $19—Clippers $268
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $70—Suns $160