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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 53% (2456–2190, n=4646) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (19 of 26 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 73% (102 of 140 open) | 59% (29 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 2% (won 95% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 32% (won 98% of 321) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 51% (won 98% of 507) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 14% (won 98% of 138) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $499 | No $307 |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $2.4K | — | Alice Tubello $3.1K | Leolia Jeanjean $5 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $241K | — | Dplus KIA $30 | — |
| Magic vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $136K | — | — | Suns $10 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $254 | — |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.0K | No $12 |
| Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $213 | No $9 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $199 | Under $2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $183 | Under $10 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | — | CD Pamplona $127 | SD Eibar $6 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $111K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions | East Texas A&M Lions $4.5K | — | — | East Texas A&M Lions $10 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.2K | No $21 |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.9K | No $998 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.0K | Over $6 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.5K | Yes $6 |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Over $9 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | — | Sydney FC $999 | Sydney FC $10 |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $913 | No $82 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $597 | No $374 |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $937 | No $9 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $870 | No $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $519 | Over $10 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $516 | No $9 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $440 | Heat $3 |
| McNeese State Cowboys vs. North Texas Mean Green same side · consensus North Texas Mean Green | — | — | North Texas Mean Green $377 | North Texas Mean Green $9 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $300 | No $10 |
| Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $291 | No $10 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $119 | No $1 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $104 | Under $4 |
| Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker same side · consensus Oriol Roca Batalla | — | — | Oriol Roca Batalla $25 | Oriol Roca Batalla $10 |