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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)53% (2452–2175, n=4627)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$5.3M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)68% (227 of 332 open)no open consensus position62% (53 of 85 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 95% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 98% of 321)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 98% of 507)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 98% of 138)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelen
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.0K—Yes $696
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.6K—Over $3
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6K—Over $9
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Over $7
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $290—Carole Monnet $17
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $244—No $10
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43—Yes $198
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $211—No $10
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
—FC Red Bull Salzburg $171—RSC Anderlecht $32
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183—Under $10
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $187—Under $6
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166—Under $3
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $127—Under $20
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—SD Eibar $6
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122—Under $4
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108—Under $3
Spread: K. Sint-Truidense VV (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus K. Sint-Truidense VV
—K. Sint-Truidense VV $40—SK Brann $10
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $16—Over $5
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $9—Olympique de Marseille $10
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8—Under $3
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5—No $2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19K—Yes $9
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Lorenzo Musetti $19K—Lorenzo Musetti $9
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $8.3K—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $133
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $21
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $7
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $975—No $981
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—Yes $123
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $403
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $500—No $1.0K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Over $9
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $16
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $6
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $10
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Over $6
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $923—No $83
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $597—No $374
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $865—No $10
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $794—Under $19
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $307
Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kuopion PS
—Kuopion PS $308—Kuopion PS $460
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $586—No $9
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $519—Over $10
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $511—No $10
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $300—No $10
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $297—No $10
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Filip Misolic $225—Filip Misolic $10
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $180—Under $19
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Heat $151—Heat $2
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Leolia Jeanjean
—Leolia Jeanjean $134—Leolia Jeanjean $9