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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus72% (79 of 109 open)58% (85 of 147 open)0% (0 of 4 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $51KBills $18K—Ravens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K—Jets $284
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $378KBills $22K—Bills $395
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K——
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $255KSteelers $6.0K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Raiders $17KJets $109——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.0K—Under $1.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $4.0K—Ravens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $2.1K——Ravens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $8
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $902—Under $1.2K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $17
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $225—Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $434—Under $65
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $171K——Raiders $5.8K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $51KMagic $228——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $20KJaguars $1.1K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $13KMagic $161——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8K—Under $575
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $4.7K—Steelers $156
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.5K—Bills $282
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $2.5K—Jaguars $4
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $93—Bills $662