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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 35% (507–954, n=1461) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | 50% (18564–18916, n=37480) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $41K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (39 of 55 open) | 45% (13 of 29 open) | 63% (58 of 92 open) | 67% (34 of 51 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $2.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $43 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $134 | No $87 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $86 | Yes $37 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.3K | No $3.1K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | No $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $902 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $43 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $225 | No $14 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $56 | Under $44 |