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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgodblessme2026joseph00677sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)31% (3392–7684, n=11076)53% (10–9, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.2M$39K$5.6M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #328PM monthly #1—
Sides with the consensus54% (20 of 37 open)84% (2054 of 2434 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Economy −8 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%39% of 4886 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)57% (won 1% of 2787)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)2% (won 38% of 106)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)4% (won 64% of 198)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)37% (won 96% of 1795)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankgodblessme2026joseph00677sainttroplay
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22KNo $452——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $166——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17KNo $8——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15KNo $105——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $184——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12KNo $126——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6KNo $178——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KNo $376——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KNo $345——
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.8KNo $50——
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $40——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KNo $259——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $25No $670——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $602No $85——
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $364No $237——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $197No $239——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $80No $347——
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $187No $130——
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $171No $125——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $219——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $197No $10——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16No $55——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $143——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $17KNo $2——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
No $16KNo $494——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $12KNo $146——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $840No $75——
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
same side · consensus No
No $49No $50——