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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankpagliacci4primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$11K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #959PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)96% (24 of 25 open)54% (21 of 39 open)55% (86 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankpagliacci4primmRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K—Colts $94Cowboys $2.1K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.4K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $47KLions $2.2K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $226K—Eagles $5.6K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K—Over $6.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.9K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Eagles $131—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K——Eagles $8.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.6K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $6.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $92Over $5.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.2K——76ers $371
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $240——76ers $155
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $235K——No $4.7K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $35K—Colts $5.7K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.8K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $5.9K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—Yes $1.4K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $924Over $864
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Commanders $579
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14