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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677UpTheBluesWinning2...
Record (consensus markets)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (20929–20600, n=41529)31% (890–1940, n=2830)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.3M$3.2M-$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #7PM monthly #714
Sides with the consensus70% (185 of 266 open)no open consensus position70% (32 of 46 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=105, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=162, ROI 0%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 99% of 2623)52% (won 19% of 1708)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 7839)39% (won 39% of 1283)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8452)9% (won 61% of 282)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 19323)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677UpTheBluesWinning2...
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Under $5.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Athletic Club $345—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $548—Yes $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $64—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $127—No $270—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132—Yes $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $22K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $3.1K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499—No $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K—No $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $572—Under $1.3K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $343—Under $768—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K—Over $7—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $791—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $364—Under $601—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $138—Yes $65—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $60—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7—Under $12—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12—Yes $2—