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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | lightningbolts | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 59% (443–308, n=751) | 47% (1389–1566, n=2955) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.9M | $94K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #991 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (92 of 128 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 299 at avg 60¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 3% (won 100% of 10) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 21% (won 100% of 64) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 45% (won 100% of 136) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 30% (won 100% of 89) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | lightningbolts | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai | Shintaro Imai $1.3K | — | — | Sho Katayama $12 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $3.1K | — | — | Coco Gauff $56K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $6.1K | — | — | Keisuke Saitoh $41K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | — | Yes $240 |
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter same side · consensus Edward Winter | Alafia Ayeni $212 | — | — | Alafia Ayeni $107 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | — | No $22 |