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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1suitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M—
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #806
Sides with the consensus76% (74 of 97 open)75% (76 of 102 open)57% (24 of 42 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1suitcase6628
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58KCoco Gauff $463
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7.0KUnder $79
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $1.7K—Keisuke Saitoh $37K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.4K—Sam Ryan Ziegann $6.0K—
Matsuyama: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka
same side · consensus Takuya Kumasaka
Takuya Kumasaka $3.0K—Takuya Kumasaka $1.0K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $26—