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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6506–6010, n=12516) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20930–20602, n=41532) | 75% (80–26, n=106) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $3.2M | $3.2M | $23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #825 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (173 of 231 open) | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 70% (33 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Under $5.2K | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Athletic Club $345 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $548 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $64 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $127 | — | No $270 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Under $22K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $3.1K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | No $15K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $572 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $343 | — | Under $768 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $411 | — | Under $677 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | Over $7 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $174 | — | Under $791 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | No $60 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Under $12 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $12 | — | Yes $2 | — |