Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NM-PRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)82% (5445–1161, n=6606)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)50% (20651–20452, n=41103)
Consensus PnL$48K$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #513PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus70% (90 of 128 open)52% (22 of 42 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNM-PRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $840
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $34Yes $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $74
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2—No $12
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $9.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $916
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $63Zsombor Piros $1.1K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $20—No $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $796
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $625Anastasia Zakharova $129—
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $53Over $248—