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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465NM-PRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)82% (5445–1162, n=6607)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$48K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #513PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus61% (14 of 23 open)69% (96 of 139 open)61% (34 of 56 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465NM-PRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K——No $15K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2KNo $3.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $210Yes $309—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $177Under $89—
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $65No $197—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—No $12
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $14K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $960
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $320No $975—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $20—No $1.1K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $612Anastasia Zakharova $393—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $801
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Zsombor Piros $64Zsombor Piros $644—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $243Kings $243—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $263Mavericks $84—
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $58Over $238—