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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | NM-P | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | 47% (7–8, n=15) | 50% (65–65, n=130) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $1.0K | -$53K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #442 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (168 of 246 open) | 73% (43 of 59 open) | 51% (42 of 82 open) | 69% (45 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 5269 at avg 72¢, ROI +29% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 5% (won 100% of 274) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 100% of 930) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 18% (won 100% of 960) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 59% (won 100% of 3105) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
60 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | NM-P | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | Under $1.2K | Over $1.8K | Under $20K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | No $1.3K | — | No $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | Yes $276 | No $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | No $1.3K | — | Yes $153 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $445 | — | Under $1.4K | Under $67 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Nuggets $93 | Rockets $691 | Rockets $669 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $162 | Hornets $210 | Cavaliers $726 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $836 | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Grizzlies $41 | Raptors $177 | Raptors $126 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $45 | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $3.4K | Rockets $2.1K | Rockets $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $142 | Rockets $545 | Rockets $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Rockets $406 | Rockets $142 | Rockets $2.5K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | No $24 | — | No $1.2K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Pelicans $1.8K | Pelicans $571 | Pelicans $158 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $747 | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $94 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $333 | Lakers $298 | Lakers $441 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $364 | Lakers $194 | Lakers $416 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-10.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Rockets $116 | Rockets $448 | Rockets $80 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Raptors $162 | Raptors $326 | Raptors $116 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $752 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $229 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $76 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | Over $22 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $689 | — | Rockets $119 | — |
| Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $424 | Yes $347 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $25 | — | Yes $674 |
| Spread: Warriors (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Warriors $481 | — | Pelicans $128 | — |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $316 | — | Under $108 | — |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $373 | Yes $1 | — | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $328 | — | — | Yes $6 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | No $12 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Hornets $40 | Cavaliers $184 | — | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $66 | No $128 | — | — |
| Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $129 | No $62 | — | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $105 | — | — | Over $54 |