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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 50% (19442–19516, n=38958) | 40% (207–305, n=512) |
| Consensus PnL | $14.8M | $3.1M | $117K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #119 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (13 of 30 open) | 64% (30 of 47 open) | 62% (13 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $941 | Under $21K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $382 | Under $7.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K | — |
| Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $5.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.9K | Under $2.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $35 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $47 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $162 | No $288 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $90 | No $139 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.3K | No $3.1K | — |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | No $3.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | Under $945 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $56 | Under $44 | — |