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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBluesVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)50% (15489–15567, n=31056)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)50% (20930–20602, n=41532)27% (295–813, n=1108)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$14.8M$3.2M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7PM monthly #119
Sides with the consensus59% (101 of 170 open)63% (20 of 32 open)70% (33 of 47 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBluesVale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6KOver $1.5KUnder $22K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17—No $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $130—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $176No $270—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $95Tom Gentzsch $29——
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Philip Henning $2Carlo Alberto Caniato $74——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $247Anastasia Zakharova $13K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $37—Yes $3.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $201Otto Virtanen $1.8K——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $791—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
Under $34—Under $378—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $36—Yes $3—