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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (86 of 151 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (22 of 35 open) | 72% (79 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $18K | — | Ravens $696 | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $2.7K | — | Jets $284 | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $1.1K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $22K | — | Bills $395 | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $1.9K | — | — | Browns $297K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $6.0K | — | — | Browns $255K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $12K | — | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $109 | — | — | Raiders $17K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7.0K | — | Under $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $647 | — | Bills $4.5K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $4.0K | — | Ravens $295 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.3K | — | Buccaneers $2.3K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $376 | Bills $2.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | Over $8 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $902 | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | — | Under $17 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $225 | — | Browns $471 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $434 | — | Under $65 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $5.8K | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $4.3K | — | — | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $228 | — | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $161 | — | — | Magic $13K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9.2K | — | Under $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $4.0K | — | Bills $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $5.1K | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.8K | — | Under $575 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $4.7K | — | Steelers $156 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $2.5K | — | Bills $282 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-14.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $2.5K | — | Jaguars $4 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $629 | — | Cardinals $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $93 | — | Bills $662 | — |