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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (108 of 182 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (101 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1812 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1978) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5856) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5819) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3763) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $5.0K | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $544 | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.7K | Cardinals $35K | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $450 | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $311 | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $2.6K | Jaguars $20K | — | Jaguars $643 |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $2.9K | Bills $378K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $192 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $11K | — | — | Buccaneers $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3.7K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.3K | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $2.7K | — | — | Falcons $1.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $280 | — | — | Lions $3.2K |
| Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $583 | — | — | Under $2.5K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Toulouse FC | Olympique de Marseille $49 | — | — | Toulouse FC $1.8K |
| Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $114 | — | — | Yes $1.0K |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $96 | — | — | Yes $1.0K |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $19 | — | — | Yes $692 |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $323 | — | — | No $366 |
| Spread: Raiders (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $558 | — | — | Raiders $29 |
| Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22 | — | — | No $419 |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich | Dylan Dietrich $429 | — | — | Liam Draxl $9 |
| Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | No $368 |
| Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $126 | — | — | Yes $242 |
| Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sport Boys Association | Sport Boys Association $218 | — | — | Cusco FC $143 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $132 | — | — | Magic $223 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $319 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $237 | — | — | Over $2 |
| Palermo FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $187 | — | — | Yes $17 |
| Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | — | No $129 |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $16 | — | — | Felipe de Dios $1 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $3.3K | Bills $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-13.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $11K | — | — | Ravens $3.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $12K | — | — | Cardinals $2.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $12K | — | — | Cardinals $1.3K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.3K | — | — | No $5.5K |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.8K | — | — | Over $718 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.6K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $164 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $1.6K | — | — | Cardinals $1.4K |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $118 | — | — | No $2.3K |
| Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $140 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $7 | — | — | No $1.2K |