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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BiggggggggFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (1399–1973, n=3372)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL—$559K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #24PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (117 of 218 open)74% (142 of 191 open)52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=109Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1163)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 182)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 68% of 179)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—60% (won 97% of 2298)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BiggggggggFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.2KYes $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $754Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $831Yes $61
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
——Alexandra Shubladze $18KAlexandra Shubladze $42K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
——Zeynep Sonmez $15KZeynep Sonmez $41K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $341No $2.2K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42