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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
claudionetotraderferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (1092–818, n=1910)35% (3645–6670, n=10315)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$87K$3.0M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #722PM monthly #699PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (15 of 19 open)72% (170 of 235 open)57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 12% of 428)—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 37% of 155)—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 75% of 214)—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 97% of 694)—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketclaudionetotraderferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $14KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $52KTommy Paul $11KTommy Paul $31K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $36KAnna Blinkova $7.2KAnna Blinkova $47K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
—Magda Linette $18KMagda Linette $5.0KMagda Linette $8.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $154Yes $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Taranto: Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
opposite sides · consensus Jay Clarke
—Gianluca Cadenasso $177Jay Clarke $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $754Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495Olympique de Marseille $478—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $831Yes $61
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $181
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Kasidit Samrej
—Carl Overbeck $13—Kasidit Samrej $107
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $32KCarlos Alcaraz $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $708Alexandra Eala $734—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $1.1K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $646Sorana Cirstea $271—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
——Melios Efstathiou $205Melios Efstathiou $31
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
—Lumbini Lions $132Lumbini Lions $54—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
—Afghanistan Under-19s $168Afghanistan Under-19s $3—