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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crmannetjeFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (26–36, n=62)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$2.0K$1.9M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #14PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (92 of 128 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicSoccer −18 pts, n=21Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won54% of 48 at avg 45¢, ROI +20%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 20% of 15)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 64% of 11)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 65% of 17)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 5)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrmannetjeFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
—Shintaro Imai $1.3KSho Katayama $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $3.1KCoco Gauff $56K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $6.4KKeisuke Saitoh $45K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
—Alafia Ayeni $242Alafia Ayeni $128
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $22