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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)42% (1976–2711, n=4687)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$72K$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #220PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)65% (108 of 166 open)50% (29 of 58 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 1222 at avg 67¢, ROI +35%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)9% (won 100% of 110)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)28% (won 100% of 345)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)12% (won 100% of 151)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)50% (won 100% of 616)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMadridTimeprimm
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $3.9K—
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1KYes $65—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $2.5KMax Houkes $9—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169——
Monastir: Toufik Sahtali vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Nikolai Barsukov
—Nikolai Barsukov $341Toufik Sahtali $751—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Calvin Hemery
—Lucas Poullain $281Calvin Hemery $765—
Pacers vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Mavericks $438Pacers $59—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $187Hawks $260—
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $370Hawks $6—
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $191Yes $114—
Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $274Yes $3—
CD Tecnico Universitario leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $208Yes $50—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Mavericks $172Pacers $27—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $104Yes $46—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
—Alexander Ritschard $140Luca Nardi $4—
Kristiansund BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $105No $16—
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $81Yes $10—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $50Over $20—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
—Holger Rune $62Zizou Bergs $4—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $34No $13—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.7KPelicans $55—
Bnei Herzliya Basket vs. Maccabi Ashdod
same side · consensus Maccabi Ashdod
—Maccabi Ashdod $27Maccabi Ashdod $544—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $326Over $21—
Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)
same side · consensus Vålerenga Fotball
—Kristiansund BK $47Kristiansund BK $193—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $197Over $8—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $82No $56—
Manta FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $68No $46—
Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
—Johan Nikles $64Johan Nikles $19—
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-3.5)
same side · consensus Kristiansund BK
—Vålerenga Fotball $51Vålerenga Fotball $14—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $43Over $8—