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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1UpTheBluesxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)85% (1304–235, n=1539)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$3.2M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #8Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus53% (8 of 15 open)57% (45 of 79 open)70% (31 of 44 open)94% (60 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%81% of 1887 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)13% (won 9% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)76% (won 97% of 1437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1UpTheBluesxxNyx
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.6KUnder $21K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K——
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5KOver $890——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8KOver $244——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $640Over $1.3K——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $741Under $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226——
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $69—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $510Jaguars $180——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $192No $249—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $29Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $796—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498——