Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650x53eCc53E7ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)41% (376–550, n=926)63% (991–574, n=1565)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$20K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #638PM monthly #92PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)71% (48 of 68 open)70% (52 of 74 open)53% (17 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NBA +11 pts n=150, ROI +7%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=59, ROI +5%
  • NHL +2 pts n=84, ROI +3%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136MLB −1 pts, n=64NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)55% (won 7% of 439)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)13% (won 44% of 101)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)15% (won 63% of 120)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)17% (won 97% of 135)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650x53eCc53E7ndb1RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $335K—
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $521Yes $365—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $337——Warriors $380
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $8No $675—
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $430No $4—
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $234Yes $171—
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $372No $3—
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $79Yes $258—
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $120Yes $41—
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $101No $47—
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $116No $3—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $132Yes $11K—
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $7.2K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $3—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $1.1K——Warriors $93
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $420Yes $343—
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $160Yes $383—
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $89Yes $357—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $394No $5—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $312Yes $29—
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $196Yes $143—
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $304Yes $5—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $133No $142—
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $128Yes $34—
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus No
—No $31No $75—