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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)60% (12–8, n=20)67% (355–171, n=526)80% (20–5, n=25)
Consensus PnL-$411K$779K-$102K$6.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #555
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)47% (8 of 17 open)60% (97 of 163 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)26% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 95)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 100% of 80)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankRN1whosay
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $4.9KClippers $33KSuns $408—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $7.3KCeltics $20K76ers $1.8K—
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $1.4KClippers $655Suns $4.7K—
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $20KCiryl Gane $47K——
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $42K—Jazz $1.9K—
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $13KSuns $326—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $7.5K—Knicks $754—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $203—Bowling Green $1.7K—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $502—Under $709—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Celtics $59576ers $334—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $28—Heat $248—
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $9—Heat $190—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $2Celtics $159——
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $43Suns $30—
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $32KCeltics $102K——
Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $21K—Marcos Giron $17K—
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $32K—Colorado Buffaloes $171—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Jazz $20K—Jazz $74—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12K—Over $41—
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $2.3K—Knicks $798—
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $172—Under $963—
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $111—Under $491—