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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FakeMadridFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)59% (908–625, n=1533)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$1.3M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #19Hand-pickedPM monthly #10PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position78% (102 of 130 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NBA +8 pts n=260, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=872, ROI +2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136MLB −1 pts, n=39Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)9% (won 16% of 131)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)28% (won 48% of 417)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 62% of 519)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)28% (won 85% of 408)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FakeMadridFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494No $15K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $3.6K—Warriors $4.8K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $337—Warriors $5.0K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $596Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $139No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Athletic Club $218
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $132Yes $3
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $403K—Warriors $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $586Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KYes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $337Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.1KOver $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $361Under $595
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6