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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmUpTheBluesyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3295, n=7816)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)50% (20931–20602, n=41533)49% (6393–6579, n=12972)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$3.2M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #46PM monthly #7PM monthly #678
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position70% (32 of 46 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmUpTheBluesyoucanbuythisbot
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7.6KOver $21
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $2
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $38
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $345Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $270Yes $8
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Athletic Club $226Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $64Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $24
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $22KUnder $845
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $374
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.4KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $2.7KNo $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.3KUnder $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $945Under $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $791Under $1
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $775Yes $9
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $768Under $13
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $65Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7Over $43