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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (2604–3484, n=6088)no settled market53% (5701–5137, n=10838)47% (12984–14433, n=27417)
Consensus PnL$92K—$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #502—PM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (37 of 71 open)no open consensus position73% (142 of 194 open)57% (30 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • Weather +2 pts n=147, ROI +2%
  • NBA +8 pts n=16, ROI +8%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions ±0 pts, n=925—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢54% (won 3% of 1749)—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 43% of 463)—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 61% of 140)—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 97% of 901)—38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $134No $5.8K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $351No $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $927Over $2.9K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.6KNo $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.0KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $58
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-26?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $999Yes $427
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $168
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $301No $702
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $38KUnder $46
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $2.2K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.6KNo $1.4K
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi
same side · consensus Han Shi
——Han Shi $4.2KHan Shi $2.5K
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.7KUnder $372
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $115No $3.3K
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $787Over $1.5K
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.8KNo $160
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $43No $1.2K
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $340No $918
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $97Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
——No $379No $662
Exact Score: Huddersfield Town AFC 0 - 1 Luton Town FC?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $878Yes $11
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $729Boluspor $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Internazionale Milano
——FC Internazionale Milano $470FC Internazionale Milano $148
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
same side · consensus No
——No $383No $134
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $427Under $41
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $63No $225
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $117Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $142Yes $5
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
——Yuzuha Negishi $77Yuzuha Negishi $50
Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $51Under $37
Will IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $9No $71
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $33Under $10