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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (741–246, n=987)50% (210–208, n=418)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL—$70K$2.5K-$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #254PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (86 of 129 open)50% (26 of 52 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +56 pts n=36, ROI +57%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=21, ROI +47%
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 73 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 4)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)56% (won 100% of 41)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)19% (won 100% of 14)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)19% (won 100% of 14)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxprimm
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
—Kilian Feldbausch $3.6KTiago Pereira $5.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $1.8KBorna Gojo $108—
Spread: OL Lyonnes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus OL Lyonnes
—OL Lyonnes $1.2KJuventus FC $10—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
opposite sides · consensus Mirra Andreeva
—Aryna Sabalenka $984Mirra Andreeva $103—
Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $383Yes $3—
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hammarby IF
—Hammarby IF $342Spartak Myjava $16—
Will Tigres FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $324Yes $12—
Will Broendby IF vs. Rosenborg BK Kvinner end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $260Yes $1—
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. PSV Eindhoven: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $235Over $2—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 3 OL Lyonnes?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $25No $44—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48Over $4—
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $4Bulls $1—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $7.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $2.8KBucks $113—
Will Broendby IF win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.0KYes $540—
Will Rosenborg BK Kvinner win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $148—
Will Spartak Myjava win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $348No $847—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Alexander Shevchenko $4—
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $266Pelicans $96—
Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $269Over $42—
Will Real Sociedad San Sebastian win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $161Yes $9—
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $125No $17—
Will Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $84Yes $12—
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $69Over $14—
Will New Zealand vs. India end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $67No $16—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Matteo Gribaldo vs Federico Iannaccone
same side · consensus Federico Iannaccone
—Matteo Gribaldo $19Matteo Gribaldo $55—
Peristeri vs. Pallacanestro Varese
same side · consensus Pallacanestro Varese
—Pallacanestro Varese $11Pallacanestro Varese $53—
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20Over $6—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $2—