Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1304–1944, n=3248)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL-$20K$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus36% (4 of 11 open)69% (119 of 173 open)no open consensus position42% (11 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won26% of 1266 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KNo $604——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19No $1.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
76ers vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $10Cavaliers $795——
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
opposite sides · consensus Oriol Roca Batalla
—Oriol Roca Batalla $379—Nicolas Kicker $223
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4——Under $559
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $536——
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $25No $359——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $312—No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $21K—Alexandra Eala $47K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
—Mai Hontama $3.9K—Mai Hontama $6.2K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $6No $656——
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $498—Noma Noha Akugue $57
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42