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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankCORGIIjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)40% (1426–2152, n=3578)45% (549–663, n=1212)61% (399–251, n=650)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$19K$11.2M$216K$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #93PM monthly #2PM monthly #77PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (528 of 843 open)68% (30 of 44 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Economy +12 pts n=60, ROI −15%
  • Elections +6 pts n=188, ROI −15%
  • F1 +9 pts n=25, ROI −11%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=409———
Settled positions, side won49% of 1687 at avg 48¢, ROI −24%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 4% of 402)10% (won 81% of 57)9% (won 92% of 36)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 43% of 745)36% (won 98% of 201)56% (won 99% of 224)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 56% of 114)35% (won 99% of 196)33% (won 100% of 134)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 426)19% (won 100% of 109)2% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankCORGIIjoseph00677
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $112No $407K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $55No $117K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11KNo $56K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.3KYes $50K——
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1KNo $31K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $16K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $56No $16K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10KYes $4.2K——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $775Yes $12K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $411Yes $13K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.4KYes $9.2K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $118No $12K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $18No $11K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.0KNo $2.9K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $6.8K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $4.1K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.3KYes $602——
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.8KNo $2——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $610No $802——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $852Yes $311——
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70Yes $51K——
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1KYes $22K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $91Yes $22K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11Yes $22K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $3.4K——
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5KNo $2.7K——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35Yes $3.7K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $99Yes $3.3K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $474Yes $28——
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $396Yes $50——
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
same side · consensus No
No $385No $49——