Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)87% (89–13, n=102)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$99K$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #311PM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (19 of 33 open)81% (22 of 27 open)76% (195 of 255 open)64% (93 of 145 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won78% of 74 at avg 70¢, ROI +6%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 28% of 18)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 96% of 51)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

59 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31KNo $14K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $24KYes $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
——Olympique de Marseille $6.8KBayer 04 Leverkusen $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.7KOver $514
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $4.5K
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.9K—No $226—
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.3KYes $574
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.7K—No $578—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.0KNo $1.3K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $443—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $122Over $2.9K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K—No $662—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.0KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $63
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $600No $300
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $534—No $340—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $713Yes $156
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $665Over $185
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $432Warriors $143
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $412Over $5
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $85Yes $186
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
——Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $72
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $31Yes $27
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $46
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $49KNo $26K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $47KNo $20K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $41KYes $18K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $18K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $11KOver $8.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KUnder $11K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $2.4K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.1KUnder $6.9K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.8KUnder $8.6K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.4KYes $3.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.0KUnder $2.5K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $3.4KBianca Andreescu $5.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $736Under $5.4K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
——Federico Coria $100Federico Coria $5.5K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $191