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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Ethanael02RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6670, n=10315)63% (104–60, n=164)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)50% (20827–20526, n=41353)
Consensus PnL$3.0M-$15K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #699PM monthly #984PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)0% (0 of 1 open)59% (19 of 32 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 86% of 7)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 92% of 25)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—59% (won 96% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Ethanael02RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $705Yes $140
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $161No $289
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
Buvaysar Gadamauri $237—Felix Gill $190—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $2—Kilian Feldbausch $259—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $56K—Tommy Paul $32K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $154——No $15K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.2K—Coleman Wong $5.0K—
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $4.7K—Lucrezia Stefanini $2.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $791
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
Kasidit Samrej $171—Kasidit Samrej $161—