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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6670, n=10319)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)53% (2457–2181, n=4638)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.5M$16K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #870PM monthly #24was PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)69% (224 of 326 open)62% (53 of 85 open)63% (31 of 49 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $13K—Over $1.5K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7KOver $3.5K—Over $3.0K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
Leyre Romero Gormaz $358—Carole Monnet $10Carole Monnet $974
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
Francesco Maestrelli $727Francesco Maestrelli $467Peter Makk $3—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $77Renata Zarazua $385—Renata Zarazua $602
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
Juan Pablo Ficovich $869Murkel Dellien $83—Juan Pablo Ficovich $37
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $11KNuno Borges $6.0K—Nuno Borges $8.6K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $14KJuan Bautista Torres $349—Juan Bautista Torres $4.2K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.6KYes $127Yes $10K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4KNo $7No $4.3K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $378No $1.9K
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $27KUtah $211——
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $10K—Lorenzo Musetti $10—
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.0KYes $749—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.6KOver $3—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.1KUnder $3.6K——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $324Under $6.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3KUnder $674——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KOver $7—
Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Alastair Gray $4Aidan Mayo $2.0K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495Olympique de Marseille $1.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $536—Lisa Pigato $142
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $595—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $22—Ivan Gakhov $225
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43Yes $198—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $206No $10—
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
—FC Red Bull Salzburg $171RSC Anderlecht $32—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183Under $10—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $187Under $6—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166Under $3—
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $152No $9—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $127Under $20—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $6—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122Under $4—
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $58—Jo-Yee Chan $36
Spread: K. Sint-Truidense VV (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus K. Sint-Truidense VV
—K. Sint-Truidense VV $40SK Brann $10—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $23Over $3—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $19Under $3—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $9Olympique de Marseille $9—
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8Under $3—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5No $2—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $9—