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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AckbarFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (32–36, n=68)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$41K$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)76% (87 of 115 open)75% (76 of 102 open)69% (38 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=48Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won49% of 51 at avg 50¢, ROI −4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 31% of 16)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 56% of 34)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAckbarFlaznorpndb1RN1
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $5.2K——Bears $42K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5K—Over $106
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $2.4K—Heat $1.7K
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.0K—Kings $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $641—Clippers $1.1K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $17—Clippers $712
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $587—Keisuke Saitoh $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.4K—Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $4.7K—Kings $1.1K
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $3.3K—Kings $845
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.5K—Under $570
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $587
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $95
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.7K—Clippers $827
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $26