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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (3860–191, n=4051) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $1.9M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #862 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 97% (31 of 32 open) | 71% (88 of 124 open) | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=3237 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 3690 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 9% of 70) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 46) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 60% of 55) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 95% (won 99% of 3519) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | No $43K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $626 | — | No $30K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K | — | Keisuke Saitoh $13K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $231 | — | Yes $571 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $22 |