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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (314–69, n=383) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $11.2M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #311 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 63% (247 of 393 open) | 62% (127 of 205 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 549) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
55 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $642K | No $114K | No $6.5K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.3K | No $440K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $946 | No $4.0K |
| Will SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.8K | Yes $136 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.8K | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-17? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.9K | Yes $3 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.0K | Yes $1.3K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $14 | Over $1.9K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | — | Alice Tubello $1.8K | Marina Bassols Ribera $60 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $121 | No $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $949 | No $4 |
| SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $889 | Under $10 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $213 | No $677 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $237 | Hawks $430 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $594 | No $21 |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | — | Renata Zarazua $535 | Despina Papamichail $2 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $325 | Thunder $136 |
| SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $424 | Under $1 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | — | Anna Siskova $274 | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Pacers $202 | Grizzlies $119 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $125 | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $116 | Over $86 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $21 | No $132 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $50 | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $26 | No $15 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $141K | No $6.3K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $101K | No $4.4K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $71K | Yes $20K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $24K | Yes $3.2K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | — | Olympiakós SFP $21K | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $20K | Yes $358 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $15K | No $5.3K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $11K | Under $8.7K |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $19K | No $73 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Under $2.7K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $12K | Under $4.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.8K | Under $5.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $6.8K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.7K | Over $7.9K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $9.4K | Under $1.5K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.8K | Under $3.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.2K | No $622 |
| Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | — | — | Zsombor Piros $2.2K | Zsombor Piros $296 |