← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | denizz | e46m3 | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 70% (207–87, n=294) | 33% (1377–2855, n=4232) | 59% (363–253, n=616) |
| Consensus PnL | $580 | $2.3M | $531K | $883K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #891 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (103 of 119 open) | 93% (25 of 27 open) | 75% (319 of 424 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.