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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankEgorkasxxFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M—$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2—PM monthly #21PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)no open consensus position61% (208 of 343 open)64% (107 of 166 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankEgorkasxxFlaznorpRN1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K——No $146
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Novak Djokovic
——Rinky Hijikata $16KNovak Djokovic $30K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $603Yes $670
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $213No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $237Hawks $408
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
——Laura Samson $557Carole Monnet $2
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $217No $62
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $26No $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $5.5KDaniil Medvedev $36K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $31KNo $4.4K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $21KYes $12K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $20KOlympiakós SFP $109
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.4KUnder $7.5K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $15KYes $390
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.3KUnder $5.0K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $5.2KOver $7.9K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.0KNo $4.1K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $12KYes $101
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $3.3KMatej Dodig $9.0K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.6KUnder $1.5K
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
——Weronika Falkowska $129Weronika Falkowska $8.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $6.0KUnder $1.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KUnder $3.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.0KUnder $3.1K
Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini
same side · consensus Luisina Giovannini
——Luisina Giovannini $2.0KLuisina Giovannini $1.8K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $622
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5Over $1.5K
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Tomas Curras Abasolo $341Tomas Curras Abasolo $1.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $1.2KOlympiakós SFP $104
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $77676ers $240
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
——No $984No $25
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $695Yes $231
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
——Yasmine Kabbaj $903Yasmine Kabbaj $9
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $768No $31
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $720Under $20
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $505Over $158
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
——Ignacio Parisca $298Ignacio Parisca $296
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $576No $3
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $170Under $119
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46