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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)81% (5071–1178, n=6249)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$141K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #21PM monthly #548PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)64% (124 of 194 open)62% (34 of 55 open)100% (6 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-Pprimm
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30KPelicans $1.2KPelicans $500—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $75K—Pelicans $294—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $36—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1KNo $810—
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $1.4KPelicans $270—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $659No $288—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $637No $231—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $98—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $8Clippers $535—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $400Under $34—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $404Kings $25—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297No $112—
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $55Under $248—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $4—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.8K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $740—
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $1.2KClippers $340—
Lakers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Lakers
—Kings $960Kings $80—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $678No $294—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $301Yes $655—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $609Timberwolves $287—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $734No $132—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $80No $619—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $522No $122—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $447No $180—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $391Mavericks $215—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $367No $118—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
—Xinyu Wang $218Xinyu Wang $252—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $99No $280—
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $154—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $91No $52—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $60No $22—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4No $32—