Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1westing.v1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)47% (48–55, n=103)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)72% (86 of 119 open)66% (39 of 59 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +44 pts n=20, ROI +43%
  • NHL +47 pts n=13, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 48 at avg 54¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)33% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)21% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1westing.v1
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $4.9KClippers $35KPelicans $44
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.8KOver $106—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $2.4KHeat $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $74Clippers $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $221Over $166—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Bears $38K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $10KClippers $1.8K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96—Bears $12K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $834Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K—
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $4.6KKings $1.1K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.0KUnder $1.9K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KUnder $570—
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $2.9KKings $859—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7KUnder $568—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $94—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.5KClippers $827—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KOver $204—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $248Pelicans $540—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $26—