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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)50% (20931–20602, n=41533)52% (413–378, n=791)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$3.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #7Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)72% (207 of 288 open)70% (32 of 46 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +4 pts n=589, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%56% of 731 at avg 51¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)4% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)41% (won 50% of 298)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)51% (won 59% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)5% (won 89% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesweflyhigh
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Under $5.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Athletic Club $345—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548Yes $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $64—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $127No $270—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132Yes $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14KUnder $22K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.1K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499No $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $572Under $1.3K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343Under $768—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0KOver $7—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $791—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $364Under $601—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $138Yes $65—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6No $60—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $12—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12Yes $2—