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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 46% (1278–1472, n=2750) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | $5.3M | -$18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #857 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 68% (160 of 235 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (77 of 128 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 751 at avg 70¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 161) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 15% (won 100% of 110) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 424) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.3K | — | No $986 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $4.3K |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | Yes $487 |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | — | Yes $35 |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC | — | Leeds United FC $3.7K | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $2 |
| Will FK Fakel Voronezh win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $406 | — | No $2.4K |
| Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | Yes $7 |
| Leeds United FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $817 | — | Yes $3 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $606 | — | Over $154 |
| Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $15 | — | Yes $617 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $614 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $214 | — | Over $352 |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $355 | — | Over $40 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $209 | — | Yes $137 |
| Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $29 | — | No $302 |
| IFK Varnamo vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $225 | — | No $89 |
| Exact Score: Korona Kielce 0 - 1 RKS Radomiak Radom? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $280 | — | Yes $2 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $236 | — | Over $37 |
| SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. TSV Havelse: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $136 | — | No $75 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $136 | — | Under $67 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $129 | — | Over $38 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $138 | — | Over $22 |
| Exact Score: Ayutthaya United FC 2 - 1 Pattani FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $155 | — | Yes $3 |
| Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2 | — | Under $141 |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Málaga CF O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $31 | — | Under $14 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $28 | — | Facundo Acosta $2 |
| FK Kharkiv vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $21 |
| Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $5 | — | No $11 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $10 | — | Under $1 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $56K | — | No $389 |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | — | Bianca Andreescu $17K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $8.1K | — | Yes $4.7K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.0K | — | Under $263 |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $69 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $114 |
| Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.0K | — | Under $1.2K |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $788 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | No $2.2K |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $151 | — | No $1.5K |
| Will FK Chornomorets Odesa win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $75 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $140 |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $612 | — | No $687 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $315 | — | No $717 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | Yes $785 | — | Yes $140 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $578 | — | Under $291 |
| Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | Anastasia Zakharova $478 | — | Anastasia Zakharova $223 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $689 | — | Under $11 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Under $642 |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Under $610 |
| Will FK Kudrivka vs. FK Chornomorets Odesa end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $197 | — | No $408 |