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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | kaxel78 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6461–6057, n=12518) | 28% (424–1074, n=1498) | 50% (20651–20452, n=41103) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $48K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 73% (154 of 210 open) | 96% (89 of 93 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Elections −1 pts, n=179 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 45% of 604 at avg 46¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 50% (won 3% of 301) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 5% (won 57% of 30) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 52% of 25) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 41% (won 94% of 248) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | kaxel78 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $64 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115 | — | Athletic Club $215 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $133 | — | Yes $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.0K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $494 | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $354 | — | Under $840 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $337 | — | Under $755 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $8 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | — | Under $595 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $129 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |