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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 65% (30–16, n=46) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $14.8M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #958 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (44 of 53 open) | 61% (35 of 57 open) | 57% (56 of 99 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 33% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 93% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $275K | Texans $41K | Texans $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $179K | Cowboys $6.9K | Cowboys $1.5K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $142K | Bulls $11K | 76ers $901 | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $92K | Texans $44K | Texans $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $101K | Cowboys $125 | Cowboys $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Colts | Colts $24K | Colts $8.8K | Colts $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $134K | Patriots $10K | — | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $104K | Patriots $26K | — | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16K | — | No $17K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | Under $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Cowboys $5.9K | Colts $6.9K | — |
| Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry | — | Nicolas Jarry $5.5K | Felipe Meligeni Alves $90 | — |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $2.7K | Saints $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $442 | Browns $2.4K | — |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $208 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $121K | Seahawks $30K | — | — |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $65K | Browns $19K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20K | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968 | — |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | Stefan Kozlov $17K | Stefan Kozlov $3.2K | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls same side · consensus 76ers | Bulls $14K | — | Bulls $80 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.7K | Under $5.6K | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8.0K | Over $161 | — |
| Spread: Saints (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $6.3K | — | Browns $311 | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.7K | Chargers $5 | — | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $26 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Over $360 | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | Over $142 | — |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand same side · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 | — |